Rothen HU, Stricker K, Einfalt J, et al (2007) Variability in outcome and resource use in intensive care units. Intensive Care Med 33: 1329-36
Recently, the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation (CORE) developed a model to predict ICU length of stay 2
Straney LD, Udy AA, Burrell A, et al. Modelling risk-adjusted variation in length of stay among Australian and New Zealand ICUs. PLoS ONE 2017; 12: e0176570
Rapoport J, Teres D, Zhao Y, Lemeshow S. Length of stay data as a guide to hospital economic performance for ICU patients. Med Care 2003; 41: 386-97
In 2018, “ICU efficiency plots” were introduced into routine ANZICS reporting.
Definition of an ICU efficiency plot
The ICU efficiency plot combines the standardised mortality ratio (SMR) — the ratio of observed to predicted deaths — plotted against the risk-adjusted length of stay ratio (LOSR). The risk-adjusted LOSR is a ratio of the geometric means of observed and predicted length of stay. The geometric mean can be considered the most typical length of stay for a patient group and is usually close to the median value.Although there has been some controversy about which measures to use, 4, 5
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Straney LD, Clements A, Alexander J, Slater A. Measuring efficiency in Australian and New Zealand paediatric intensive care units. Intensive Care Med 2010; 36: 1410-6
In this article, we provide a brief review of this performance metric for adult intensive care clinicians and tips on how these data may be interpreted. Clinicians can review their own ICUs’ performance by logging into the ANZICS CORE portal.
Interpreting an ICU’s position on the ICU efficiency plot
The SMR and risk-adjusted LOSR make up the two axes on the graph (Figure 1). Each ICU is displayed as a point estimate with 95% confidence intervals. Each unit falls within one of four quadrants, representing different outcome and resource use combinations. The “most efficient” ICUs are in the lower left quadrant, with both low SMR and a shorter ICU length of stay than predicted (the risk-adjusted LOSR is less than one). The “least efficient” ICUs are in the upper right quadrant, with both high SMR and a longer ICU length of stay than predicted (the risk-adjusted LOSR is greater than one).A risk-adjusted LOSR greater than one indicates a longer observed length of stay than predicted. Patients who deteriorate after admission would be expected to have a longer observed length of stay than predicted and would lead to a higher risk-adjusted LOSR for an ICU. However, individual patients with a very long length of stay generally do not affect the risk-adjusted LOSR because most ICUs have few of these atypical patients. 8, 9
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Iwashyna TJ, Hodgson CL, Pilcher D, et al. Timing of onset and burden of persistent critical illness in Australia and New Zealand: a retrospective, population-based, observational study. Lancet Respir Med 2016; 4: 566‐73
Causes of a longer observed length of stay than predicted
An analysis of 167 014 ICU admissions to 42 rural/regional, 32 metropolitan, 42 tertiary and 63 private ICUs in Australia and New Zealand between January and December 2018 showed statistically significant but clinically small differences between observed and predicted length of stay, typically less than 4 hours for most diagnoses and patient types. Exceptions included non-head injury trauma admissions, where observed length of stay was typically almost 10 hours shorter than predicted, and patients who required renal replacement therapy, in whom the observed length of stay was almost 2 days longer than predicted (Table 1).The most common factor associated with a high risk-adjusted LOSR was discharge delay (ie, a prolonged time in the ICU after being deemed ready for discharge), which is dependent on both ICU and hospital-wide practices (Figure 2).
Implications
The ICU efficiency plot is an innovative display of overall ICU performance. It provides the opportunity to benchmark institutional resource utilisation against mortality. It updates quarterly as ANZICS data are submitted but will require scrutiny to determine overall accuracy of predictions. 10
Kramer AA. Are ICU length of stay predictions worthwhile?* Crit Care Med 2017; 45: 379-80